This Week in Auto Racing October 26 - October 28

Autoracing Betting Lines

10/23/2007 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jeff Gordon and his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Jimmie Johnson continue their two-man battle for the Nextel Cup title at the Atlanta Motor Speedway. But don't forget the Craftsman Truck Series championship where Mike Skinner and Ron Hornaday Jr. have been throwing haymakers at each other since the first race in Daytona.

NASCAR

Nextel Cup

Pep Boys Auto 500 - Atlanta Motor Speedway - Hampton, GA

There are just four races left in the 2007 Chase for the Nextel Cup and barring a complete collapse it appears to be an intra-team battle between four-time Nextel Cup champion Jeff Gordon and defending series champion Jimmie Johnson.

In the six "Chase" events to date, Gordon has won twice (Talladega, Lowe's) and collected five top-fives. His worst finish in the "Chase" was a still respectable 11th place at Dover.

Johnson, 53 points behind his Hendrick Motorsports teammate, is coming off a win last week at Martinsville. It was his third consecutive win at the half- mile short track that used to be Gordon's bailiwick. Johnson has three top- fives in the "Chase," but two 14th-place finishes, at Dover and Lowe's, have left him with a sizeable deficit to overcome.

On the other hand, Johnson was the winner at AMS in March where he led 135 of 325 laps en route to a 1.311-second victory.

In that race, Stewart built a 1.314-second margin with 25 laps remaining. Johnson's pit crew was telling him to conserve fuel, but he also needed to catch Stewart. Johnson caught a huge break when a sixth caution flag, for debris, came out with 16 laps to go.

The leaders came in for fresh rubber and a splash of fuel to guarantee they could reach the finish. Stewart won the race off pit road with Kenseth, Johnson and Montoya just behind. The No.20 Chevy got a great jump and left a lapped car between himself and second place. But Johnson got around both Kenseth and the lapped car and still had eight laps to run down the leader.

Johnson was driving at the bottom of the track and closing on Stewart. Six laps to go and he was just two lengths back. They were side-by-side with five to go, but Stewart fought him off. Johnson tried it again on lap 323 and squeezed Stewart into the wall, slightly. Stewart regained control, but he lost all his momentum.

Johnson took off and Stewart, now with a damaged right-side fender, had to settle for second spot. He had nothing for Johnson. The 2006 Nextel Cup champion took the checkered flag without challenge.

Since March 2004, Johnson has two wins and five top-5s in seven starts at AMS while Gordon has just two top-5s and one DNF.

The only wild card that could possibly ruin the Hendrick Motorsports party is if Clint Bowyer and his No.07 Richard Childress Racing come up with a "miracle."

Following a ninth-place finish at Martinsville, his best ever on the flat half mile track, he sits 115 points behind Gordon. But the Emporia, KS native doesn't quite seem ready to challenge the to Hendrick Motorsports cars.

"We were just hoping that we could be within a hundred points of (Gordon and Johnson) coming out of Charlotte and here, because we know they 'own' these two places," said Gil Martin, Bowyer's crew chief after Martinsville.

"I'm really enjoying our situation where we're at - it's fun," said Bowyer. "I'm really proud of the way we've been able to step up our program. It's neat to see how far we've come in just a few races."

The difference between winning a championship and merely competing for one is that you would never hear Gordon or Johnson being satisfied to be "staying close" to the leaders. They both "need" to win too badly to be satisfied to just being close.

That's why this year's champion will be either Gordon or Johnson.

Busch

Sam's Town 250 - Memphis Motorsports Park - Millington, TN

Carl Edwards had to put the champagne on ice last week when an incident on lap 133 collected Edwards and three others. It was the first time in Edwards' Busch Series career that he had back-to-back DNFs (did not finish).

Not to fear however, Edwards still holds a commanding 638-point lead over second-place David Reutimann and 753 points over Kevin Harvick, the third- place driver and defending series champion.

Edwards can clinch the crown by leaving Memphis with a lead of 585 points or more over the second-place driver in the point standings.

The season's second half hasn't been kind to Edwards. In the first 15 races of the year, he posted four wins, 11 top-fives and 13 top-10s. However, in the 16 races since, he has failed to earn even one win and finished 20th or worse eight times. In fact, he has failed to finish on the lead lap in six of the last eight races.

Last year's race was won by Harvick, with Clint Bowyer and Edwards just behind.

On the final restart, Edwards, in the lead, seemed to spin his tires slightly and Harvick ducked to the bottom of the track. He gave Edwards a nudge up the track and both he and Bowyer slipped by. Harvick held off his teammate for another win en route to a record setting championship.

"I just didn't get a good restart," said Edwards.

"Both of us were sideways, loose, our tires wore out on the last laps," said Harvick. "What more can you ask for, to come down to the last couple of laps."

This year's race may come down to the last lap, however, the championship should be wrapped up this weekend.

Craftsman

Easycare Vehicle Service Contracts 200 - Atlanta Motor Speedway - Hampton, GA

Like it's "big brother" the Nextel Cup Series, the Craftsman Truck Series appears to be a two-man race.

With four races left in the season, Mike Skinner and Ron Hornaday Jr. are locked in a titanic struggle of former champions. Skinner, the 1995 champion, had been the series leader for most of the season. After winning three of four races to start the season, the Bill Davis Racing Toyota driver has led the series for 16 of 21 weeks.

But Hornaday Jr. (1996 and 1998 Craftsman Series champion) has also had a great season and last month caught Skinner. After finishing second at the Dodge Dealers Ram Tough 200 at the Gateway International Raceway, the Kevin Harvick Inc. Chevrolet driver grabbed the lead from Skinner and has held it for three of the last five events. But despite finishing a solid third last Saturday, Hornaday Jr. lost the championship lead as Skinner won for the fifth time this year and the 24th time in his truck career.

Skinner will bring an 11-point lead to the Atlanta Motor Speedway for this Saturday's Easycare Vehicle Service Contracts 200. Neither driver was particularly good in last year's race - Skinner finished eighth and Hornaday Jr. 13th. But in the March race, Skinner was a relatively easy winner while Hornaday Jr. again finished outside the top-10.

Skinner started on the pole and led the first 17 laps before yielding to Todd Bodine, who would finish second to Skinner. The race would come down to an 16- lap shootout between Skinner, Bodine, Clint Bowyer and Rick Crawford.

Bowyer got the jump on the restart, but Skinner and Bodine caught him within a lap. Bodine was looking high and low to find a spot around Skinner, but couldn't find one. A record ninth caution flag (Allmendinger) set up a very short finishing run.

Bowyer didn't get as good a restart this time and Skinner nudged him pulling his Toyota around the outside for the lead. Bowyer fell all the way to seventh and with two laps remaining it was Skinner and Bodine. Skinner's lead was eight lengths as they saw the white flag signifying one lap to go and he made no mistakes en route to the victory.

Expect another battle between Skinner and Hornaday Jr. on Saturday.

Vagess Autoracing Betting News


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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING

NCAA Football Betting

Many fans thought it was the best side in the nation by the end of last season. This year, the polls have built on Georgia's momentum and granted it the No. 1 preseason ranking, followed by Ohio State and USC. (The Associated Press has the Buckeyes at No. 2; USA Today took the Trojans.)

"To have people believing we have one of the best teams in the nation going into this thing, it's exciting for us," Bulldogs coach Mark Richt told the AP. "I don't think anything is guaranteed, but we certainly have put ourselves in position where at least the college football world thinks we're pretty good."

Georgia Bulldogs - 9.5 wins

There's no question they're good, but the Bulldogs have one of the toughest 12-game schedules in the nation, mostly because they play in the powerhouse Southeastern Conference. Away games at No. 15 Arizona State, No. 7 LSU and No. 10 Auburn loom large, with contests between the hedges versus No. 24 Alabama and No. 18 Tennessee as well as the World's Largest Cocktail Party in Jacksonville versus No.5 Florida.

Ohio State Buckeyes - 10 wins

Like the Bulldogs, the Buckeyes also have a number of tough road contests in 2008. After two scrimmages dressed up as real games versus Youngstown State and Ohio, it's off to face USC. Other tough away games include No.13 Wisconsin in October and No. 20 Illinois in November. Granted, it should be pretty easy sledding at the Horseshoe. In fact, the only ranked team that travels to Columbus is No. 22 Penn State, in October.

USC Trojans - 10.5 wins

A similarly light schedule awaits the Trojans of Southern California, which is why the oddsmakers' total is one win more and the over is currently commanding -150 odds. Pete Carroll's troops only play three ranked teams in 2008, and all of those games are at home. After what should be an easy trip to Virginia to start things off on Aug. 30, the Trojans get two weeks to prepare for Ohio State in Los Angeles. Their two other ranked opponents, No. 21 Oregon and No. 15 Arizona State, visit in consecutive weeks to start the month of October. After that, the competition eases up. Of course, this is the same highly-touted school that lost to Stanford in 2007 and Oregon State in 2006. And don't discount the fact that USC plays its biggest rivals, Notre Dame and UCLA, back-to-back to close out the regular season. On paper, the Trojans are far superior, but motivation will be high for the Irish and Bruins, especially if their historic foes are in national-title contention.

Odds to Win the Heisman Trophy

Tim Tebow, Florida - 7/2
He won it last year, so it's no surprise he's the favorite to do it again, making him just the second player to go back-to-back. Ohio State's Archie Griffin turned the trick in 1974 and 1975, and Tebow's coach, Urban Meyer, is pretty sure his star quarterback can match the Buckeyes legend.

"There has never been anyone quite like him," Meyer told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. "I am very lucky to be his coach."

Chris Wells, Ohio State - 5/1

The man they call "Beanie" was a star recruit out of high school, so it's not like nobody knew who the star tailback was before he rushed for 576 yards as a freshman in 2006 and 1,609 as a sophomore. But perhaps his finest moment came last year versus Michigan when he rumbled for 222 yards and two touchdowns in the Buckeyes' 14-3 victory over the hated Wolverines.

Knowshon Moreno, Georgia - 8/1

If the Bulldogs are to live up to expectations, they'll need a huge effort from their sophomore running back. This might be the last year of college ball for Moreno, who rushed for 1,334 yards and for 14 touchdowns as a freshman, while adding 253 receiving yards on 20 receptions, so expect big things for the man from Belford, N.J.

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